My name is Claire Miranda from Demand Climate Justice, speaking on behalf of ENGO.
I want to disclose that I am not affiliated with, nor supported by any fossil fuel entity.
Today’s NDC Dialogue asks crucial questions which we want to address by urging Parties to consider their NDCs— for both ambition AND equity. The only way NDCs will add up to adequate collective action is if all agree to do their fair share.
Almost all countries will claim their contributions are aligned with the 1.5C temperature goal, but parties who contributed the most to today’s climate crisis must also contribute the most to collective global efforts. That means countries with the highest historical emissions and respective capabilities must do their “fair share” — by cutting emissions faster and deeper than the mere global average, and by providing support at scale commensurate with needs.
It is therefore not enough for countries with the greatest historical responsibilities to merely cut their domestic emissions by the global average of 60% by 2035, as urged by the IPCC. That figure is a global benchmark — not a free pass for polluters. If you polluted more, you must reduce more, and do so faster. Because higher responsibility demands higher ambition. Parties can refer to the Climate Equity Reference Calculator, which is readily available online, to know how much are their fair shares.
During the first Global Stocktake, we heard it repeatedly: the GST must inform the next round of NDCs. That cannot be reduced to vague intentions — it must translate into action. It means fast emission reductions, especially from developed countries. It means financing real fossil fuel phaseout plans – including oil and gas. It means protecting and restoring ecosystems, and halting and reversing deforestation and degradation. It means fully funding adaptation and just transition plans in the Global South. And above all, it means the provision of sufficient, predictable, and grant-based climate finance — in both quantity and quality — from developed to developing countries.
We are disappointed with the first NDCs published so far — most fall far short of what this moment demands. Alarmingly, we just learned that just four Global North countries are collectively responsible for nearly 70% of projected new oil and gas expansion from 2025 to 2035. These are the very countries that should be leading the energy transition — not doubling down on fossil fuels and business-as-usual. Their NDCs must show a clear, urgent pathway to a full, fair, and funded fossil fuel phaseout.
We call on all Parties to honor the promises of the GST and deliver NDCs aligned with the 1.5°C goal, rooted in climate justice. And we expect developed countries — with their historic responsibility and vast resources — to lead the way, not obstruct it.
Thank you.